"The Console Market is Shrinking" is a BS Statement

[vkaraujo]

Zod95 said:

Drakrami said:
Imagine, Ps4 sells 200mil life time. Is it that hard to imagine this? Considering it's already sold 7mil in 5 months, it will probably sell for 10 years+, there are whole new markets that in previously generations did not touch a console before (China with its 1.3billion population).

Very hard. But please, be my guest in presenting a reasoning to support that number.

So far, you've only talked about:

1 - The system has sold 7.1M in 5 months. But you must take into account that among those 5 months there is the launch period and the Christmas season. Considering only this year, April is the 4th month and PS4 is at 2.7M. By the end of the month, PS4 will most probably be at 3M in 4 months. That doesn't sound as good, does it?

2 - A 10-year life-cycle. But you must take into account that the 8th, 9th and 10th years won't be as good.

3 - New markets. China hasn't got 1.3B people overnight. That country, as well as India, Brazil, Russia, Indonesia and many others had already hundreds of millions of people during the 7th generation of videogame consoles. But there's a good reason of why only some thousands have bought consoles. And that reason will not evaporate now on the 8th generation.

Just to add to this.

I'm from Brazil, and i can tell that most of us here buy imported from USA (at least in the first years of every gen). So a good part of our numbers are already on charts. I imagine the same goes for other countrys in LATAM, and maybe China (towards South Corea/Japan Charts).