TheShogun said:
Sal.Paradise said:
I've been pretty careful about making early predictions regarding these two consoles, I think this is the most I've ever stuck out my neck on this subject. I don't think it's too early to say that those are the only chances it has in the forseeable future.
MS just essentially packed in their biggest 'exclusive' that isn't Gears or Halo for free, and still got beaten by 60k units in a month with only Infamous as an exclusive for their competitor. Infamous is small-fry. It's a third or second tier Sony exclusive by popularity, same with Killzone. It's pretty clear MS won't outsell them on a 'regular' month with no big releases, so their only hope are for when the big games hit, aka Q3-4,but then in most years they'll be going up against games bigger than Infamous and KZ too.
They have very few opportunities of their own design to post bigger numbers than the PS4. They can cut the price early and lose a ton of money upfront. And they can invest in new IP and hardware to find their next breakout hit. And MS just committed their premier new team to an old IP...
And please stop saying DOOM sarcastically, I'm not arguing if the XB1 is DOOMED, most reasonable people aren't. All XB1 has to do to lose is sell less than PS4. Which is a very easy thing.
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Again though that's a bold ass prediction. What if Sunset Overdrive ends up being mind blowing? What if Quantam Break releases and is incredible?
That's what I mean, people are used to being in established trends as the last 3 years for console sales have pretty much followed a strait path. We are in the first steps of a new generation with lots of new IP's coming. Those two games could turn out terrible and do nothing, or they could be massive hits, and the next Gears of War for MS.
That's what my overall point is, people need to be ready for some epic twists and turns over the next few years, just look at how many curve balls got thrown to us last gen with sales trends.
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Not that many after the initial groundwork was layed, honestly. PS3 caught up on 360 by virtue of its Europe+Asia market strength (which wasn't that difficult to predict) , Wii petered off early, PSP died in the west and got a second life in the east, and Kinect happened.
