Shadow1980 said:
Well, while we're still waiting on official PS4 and Wii U numbers, here's the XBO's first Q1 total compared to that of its predecessors:
Xbox: 403k 360: 603k XBO: 711k
So, the XBO is still trending ahead of both. However, let's look at how they did each month of their first winter quarter:
Xbox
Jan.: 128k Feb.: 139k Mar.: 136k
360
Jan.: 250k Feb.: 161k Mar.: 192k
XBO
Jan.: 142k Feb.: 258k Mar.: 311k
For January alone, the XBO outsold the original Xbox's first January by 14k units and sold 108k fewer units than the 360 did its first January. Now February was a tax return boost month for the XBO (the PS4 was supply-limited and didn't get the same boost) and March gave us Titanfall and the reduced-price Titanfall bundle, which helped the XBO considerably. For whatever reason, neither the Xbox nor the 360 got a tax season boost their first Jan.-March quarter, and neither received anything like a temporary tax cut or special edition bundle or big system-seller. The question remains: "What happens when those Titanfall bundles dry up and MS is left with just the standard $500 SKU?" That January number may have been a portent of things to come. With tax season over, could we see it drop back below 200k once the Titanfall bundle is discontinued? For the current quarter, the XBO needs to sell at least 793k to beat what the 360 did in Q2 2006, and with nothing to further stimulate sales, I don't see that happening.
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Well maybe that means that this "tax season boost" is just myth? It seems that people are selectively applying this tax boost assumption to explain X1 sales.
As for "What happens when those Titanfall bundles dry up" don't forget that X1 has more potential for price reduction, they can unbundle kinect if they want. And also the strong sales of X360 are proof that the fanbase is there. They are just waiting for a lower price. It's similar to when people were buying PS2 instead of PS3 because the latter was very expensive.