Do We Still believe XBO can't pass WiiU 2014?

[sales2099]

Michael-5 said:

JayWood2010 said:

Michael-5 said:

Your analysis is biased. XB1 numbers got a huge boost from Titanfall, but WiiU numbers have yet to get their huge boost from Mario Kart 8.

With that in mind, WiiU should continue to outsell XB1 at least for 2014.

I gave A huge boost to titanfall?  I said i based it off of X360 2006 trend as theyre tracking similar, and even then i lowered Xbox one numbers.  And while I  lowered xbox one I gave WiiU about an extra 250k considering last year from april  to september it sold roughlt 560k. But yes, it is a biased of course, it must be *sigh*

Your analysis is biased because it's "Based off of the numbers we know of March 22nd, 2014" With that it's based off the numbers including the boost from Titanfall, but WiiU has yet to get its boost from Mario Kart. Going to list invalid assumptions you made:

So not only will XB1 not surpass WiiU lifetime sales in 2014, it might not even surpass WiiU annual sales in 2014. Mario Kart is Nintendo's biggest franchise after all.

So this would put 2014 year end sales at:

9.6 - 11.9 million - WiiU
8.6 million - XB1

Well isn't that the flip side to the coin. I myself think it will be the first half of 2015 but then again there is a chance. As of now there is only a 1.9 million gap. In just 3 months X1 allready more then doubled WiiU 2014 sales. It isn't crazy to think X1 can't overtake 1.9 million within 9 months.

Titanfall fever can't last but it certainly is bumping up weekly X1 numbers way higher then WiiU is doing. That coupled with near constant retailer temporary price cuts where as Nintendo isn't in a position to do those. This will mean that now-fall will have a average gap of 40-50k.

Granted there are wild cards. Mario Kart and Smash Bros namely. However I must point to the Gamecube to say that the games may sell great but it won't effect hardware that much if said hardware isn't selling well.

That said, MS has their own wild cards that WiiU doesn't have: PS4/X1 multiplats that WiiU won't get, a vastly superior marketing budget, and a wave of temporary price cuts and bundles. Kinect Sports for the casuals and Halo 2 Anniversary for the core to name a couple exclusives. It really can go either way.