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I don't know, there are a lot of unknown variables that are pretty much guaranteed to impact sales of both consoles. What kind of price cut will the x1 have? how much impact will mario kart have? Will the wii u get a price cut? Will Halo 5 come out this year? etc.

I would assume that the x1 should be able to pass the wii u this year, but really, who knows. The gen is early and is easily primed for shake ups and game changers...