Selling a million in the US alone? I don't see any other Wii games than the "big three" doing that, but there might be surprise hits. My Sims for example is a complete mystery to me, and Nintendo's "Wii something" games might hit a gold vein.
There are probably over a million hardcore gamers who own a Wii that have decided to get all three, and undoubtedly a lot of the new more casual userbase is interested in trying some "real" games as well.
I wonder how many of the people who own a Wii so far are actually of the much hyped casual gamer type, and how many are active gamers who got it because they want Nintendo's first party games, or just something different from the same old formula. I imagine most of us are of the traditional gamer type, as the word still hasn't gotten that far, and the price is still at the upper limits of what most casual gamers are willing to pay.
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