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IMHO The 360 wont lead in sales because of one thing

They dont know how to attract japanese, if they did then they could have sold a good 4-5 million by now even with the orginal xbox but the damage is done. Even the gc had sold good a good amount in all key markets and they made a profit with less worldwide sales. Also the ps3 sold more in japan and it reached 10 million faster then the 360 despite being pricier and not having any games at launch. also one thing that could have helped them alot is using the hddvd format instead of using the puny dvds which is why MGS4 will never go the 360 imo.