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Sony is selling about a million per month. I think they'll hit 10 million by the end of June (they'll probably announce at E3 as shipped numbers).

The X1 is doing well in NA but it's likely doing terrible elsewhere. If it stays at around 500k per month (not happening, it's go down in April once titanfall hype is done and Sony starts flooding the market with PS4s)

It'll hit 5 million The end of May...

Honestly, I'd say there's good chance PS4 may get to 10 million first, but it probably won't happen. MS will likely pass 5 million (just barely) a few weeks before Sony announces 10 million.

Either way, the gap will continue to increase, I fully expect it to be 7-8 million by the end of Dec. and increasing throughout next year.

So, for this one I'll vote that Yes, Sony will hit 10 million first, just because I'm an optimist, lol.

By the end of 2014, I think the PS4 will be at around 17-18 million, and X1 will be around 8-9 milion (assuming there's a price cut, of course).