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perhaps with the Wii's cheap development costs, wii ware etc and with little dev companies having a go at console gaming and big dev companies bieng hesitant we may see some new successfull dev copanies by the end of the Wii's cycle.

who knows what one or two wii ware cult hits followed by a dabble in releasing a follow up retail version can end up in.  Fact is the Wii is gonna fall or stand still without third party support, sure it'd be more successfull and nicer if it had good support but if it doesn't it'll have a decent life cycle and third party's will realise this at the very latest when that magic 50% is hit.