Landguy said:
I didn't intend to make it sound like the XB1 would reach 8 million by November. I meant by the end of the year. Starting in November, the XB1 will probably be hitting 100k and by the end of November be at 250k per week. The system price will be lower and the library will have some content. A lot of people get hung up on exclusive games as the only system seller. IF that was the truth, the WiiU would have double the sales by now as they pretty much only have exclusive content. When all of the Bttlefield and COD versions come out this fall and they actually have versions that were mad for the PS4 and XB1, they will actually be system sellers by themselves. Sure, the PS4 is more powerful than the XB1, but when the nextgen games start landing this fall, they had beeter look it or people will start to forget that whole idea. If you think it is far fetched that M$ can sell 4 million XB1's in the last 8 months of the year, i think you need to look at the sales patterns for the 360 the year after launch. It sold 6 million in it's first year and only sold 1.5-2 million in the first 3 months. This is the uusal time of year right now to have slow sales. Don't let the PS4 fool you, it is an anomoly. Titanfall will help, but package pricing and price reductions are what is going to make the XB1 sell better the rest of the year. |
I certainly won't argue against 8 million by years end; it's just 8 million before holiday sales kicked in was ridiculously optimistic.
That said, this is entirely my point. I'll be more than willing to give the One 8 million sales by the year's end. And then, for the sake of argument, let's say it goes nuts and absolutely catches on fire, selling 500K a month afterwards. That means that the One, with an incredibly optimistic outlook, reaches 10 million sales by the end of April of next year.
I find it incredibly difficult to believe that the Wii U, even doing as poorly as it is, will somehow not be able to pull off a mere 4.2 million sales in over a year's time, with a holiday, Mario Kart, and Smash Bros all lined up. But, hey, Nintendo's managed to epicly screw the pooch thus far, so I suppose it's not totally out of the question.