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DKII said:
Name one single winning console in the last 20 years that was discontinued once its successor launched. There isn't one. The PS2/PS3 isn't anything special.

And brand loyalty is obviously overrated. Or am I mistaken, and the PSP sold 100 million to all the PS loyalists while the DS (which abandoned the popular Game Boy brand, mind you) sold far less? And of course the completely unknown Playstation 1 was outright flattened by the undefeated Nintendo brand with the N64.

Sales trends don't suddenly reverse themselves. There isn't some magical bank of PS2 customers that are going to decide they're all going to buy a PS3 one day. The first 1/3 of consoles have been sold and the last 2/3 of consoles will follow a simlar trend.

 Hmm... Ok, I understand where you're coming from on the "winning" console thing.  But as you pointed out, one can make a bunch of distinctions about who really is competing with whom.  So as this all plays out, it may be hard for people to agree on what "winning" actually means.  (i.e. Who determines when a generation is over?)

We can disagree about how important brand loyalty is... I'll just point out that (and further my point about separating handhelds and consoles) Nintendo has a much better established brand in handhelds... and it goes way, way back.

 Do you really think the PS3 has only sold 1/3 of what will be its eventual total?  Wow... I'd take that bet.

If sales trends don't reverse themselves, then what do you make of the fact that the PS1 sold 100 million+ and the PS2 is at roughly 120million now?

I'm not sure how you do it on the new version of vgcharts... but if someone could post the sales charts of consoles with launches aligned for PS1, PS2 & PS3... It would be interesting to see if they are following similar trends.

 



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