Mario Kart 8 will be the worst-selling Mario Kart ever. UPDATE: Nope, my prediction was wrong.

[zorg1000]

Kane1389 said:

zorg1000 said:

Kane1389 said:

zorg1000 said:

Kane1389 said:

Rogerioandrade said:
Even if it sell around 5-6 million, considering the size of the market today it will do well enough.

That would require almost 100% attach rate of the game...not happening. It'll be lucky if it crosses 4 million

Its at 5.8 million right now according to Vgchartz and shipments of 5.86 million as of Dec 31, probably over 6 million by now. Do u honestly believe Wii U will ship/sell zero units from this point on?

It wont sell enough for this game to hit 6 million, I believe that

Thats fine but thats not what u said. U said it would have close to a 100% attach rate in order to sell that much which is not true. Wii U would literally have to be discontinued now in order for it to not pass 6 million.

For the last 3 generations the home console version of Mario Kart has had roughly a 30-35% attach ratio. Assuming that this trend continues Wii U would need a lifetime install base of about 15-17 million in order for Mario Kart to sell 5-6 million. Im not saying this scenario is gauranteed to happen but its def a realistic number for both of those to sell based on Wii U current hardware and software sales.

I assumed for some reason the dude was talkimg about yearly sales

That still doesnt make sense. Even if Mario Kart sold 5-6 million this year it wouldnt be 100% attach rate unless again u assume Wii U will be discontinued starting now. Its just under 6 million with 10 months left to go, by the end of the year were looking at a minumum of 8 million and up to 10 million or so which would give Mario Kart anywhere from 50-75% attach ratio with sales of 5-6 million this year.

Ur either really bad at math or make posts without actually thinking them through.