I'm a little tired, but it looks like a good analysis - I agree with it.
I think they will easily make their fiscal target, then aim for something like 2.4m production for next fiscal year (average) - which includes "dumping" stockpiled Wiis in April for new games, and to counter GTA. Fiscal target for '08-09 should be around 16m-20m.
Anything over 20m would be a huge bonus - and consider that Ninty tend to be conservative, and upp their forecasts - rather than overestimate.
Gesta Non Verba
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