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mutantsushi said:

Beyond 50% marketshare seems highly likely, I think it's possible to reach that by Oct/Nov this year, certainly close to it. MS can be expected to have some big push at next holiday which might temporarily stop/reverse Sony's marketshare gain, but PS4 sales look tracked to reach 50% or near it by the beginning of holiday season. 60%+ marketshare for this generation seems highly plausible, and either Ninty or MS bailing early for a 'next' gen will just amplify that.


Believe me over 50% is a 95% probability! The reasoning is simple as the following...

The WiiU's market share will range between 10-20% (down from 40% last generation), which brings the total XB1+PS4 market share up to 80-90% range. Now, here, the market share between those two consoles, calculate in any way you like, and I have demonstrated in half a dozen times already will be

XB1 : 24-33% out of 80-90 % => 19-30% range

PS4 : 67-76% out of 80-90 % => 54-67% range

So there is almost no chance that it will be below 50% and I can say, with a 95% confidence that the market share will be over 54% (not only 50%). Just watch this thread to converge those values to those values (for now it's only between XB1 and PS4, but I will later add WiiU as well).

XB1 vs PS4 Cumulative Market Share Watch

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178754&page=1



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates