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As a brazilian I can say that Brazil changing its import taxes won't happen. This year.

There's a project that started in 2011, "Fair game" (translation). It didn't get much attention on the first 2 years.

I saw a lot of motion this year including meetings in the US. Maybe we can see some changes.

But, as far as I can say, PS4 official price of US$ 1800 showed us that the 11. prediction is pretty unlikely to happen.