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Last year, Wii stock magically shipped a lot right after their fiscal ended because they met their numbers and wanted a leg up for the next fiscal year numbers. No reason they're not doing the same here.

Not to mention that they got 3 big games in US in first half, Brawl, Kart, WiiFit. Then those are also coming to Japan/Europe. Its high likelihood that they are stockpiling systems for those launches (esp WiiFit).

Nintendo has said that they produced 1.8 mil per month, that's a FACT. Not some random 1.3 mil some guy on a forum says they're producing.