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I think it would take a miracle for Wii U to outsell the N64 at this point. PS4 is going well above 50 million+ at minimum.

I also think Mario Kart Wii's sales were inflated a lot by the Wii Sports casual audience. NSMB as well ... and we've seen on Wii U, NSMBU couldn't cut the mustard as far as driving hardware sales to a satisfactory level.

Mario Kart 8 will do well, but it will also likely even out again to N64/GCN like levels, the casual crowd isn't paying $300 to play that again when there is no new craze/fad/hook on the Wii U. Most of them don't even know the Wii U is new system, lol, and even less want a new console period.

The people who want a new console are very clearly core/hardcore gamers, Sony was smart in realizing that and making a console tailored to that audience. Nintendo just misread the tea leaves entirely.