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^Norway have two potential golds -- biathlon 4x7,5km relay race and skiing mass-start 50km -- from the top-4 only Russia might have a chance to take that gold from them, and that's it for Norway. Canada not gonna make it to the top regardless even with the gold in hockey. Not sure about the US as I'm absolutely not aware of their standings in slalom and bobsleigh, but for Russia it's race for the gold in bobsleigh. So I'd say the most propable winner of this year Olympics is Norway, then Russia, then US and least chances of all to take 1st spot has Canada -- not that it's of great importance as the difference in medal table is going to be small anyway.