Will brawl and galaxy sell better WW then halo 3?

[Sullla]

I think both with outsell Halo eventually; I've been saying Mario Galaxy would outsell Halo since before both games launched, and I see no reason to change that.

I'm surprised that virtually everyone here thinks that Brawl is going to destroy Mario Galaxy is sales. You all realize that Brawl is a title that is MUCH more heavily frontloaded than Galaxy, right? Brawl sales are tremendous right out of the gate because (just like Halo) it appeals to hardcore fans of the console. That's not to say Smash Brothers doesn't have casual appeal - it does - but not as much as some of Nintendo's other franchises. I think there's an excellent chance that Galaxy will end up selling more copies overall than Brawl by the end of the generation, because it has much better legs long-term. (Think New Super Mario Brothers for the DS.)

Part of what's throwing off the comparisons is the fact that Smash Brothers Melee was the top-selling Gamecube game... but that's misleading because the Gamecube was a niche console that was ENTIRELY owned by Nintendo fans. The Wii has many more owners who are not die-hard "Mario boys", to whom Smash Brothers doesn't have the same appeal. I don't see the attach rate being as high this time around.

The other thing that throws off comparisons is the fact that Smash Brothers (like God of War/Metroid Prime/Metal Gear Solid) is a franchise with a rabid online following, which makes the game SEEM more popular than it really is. Don't get me wrong: Brawl has casual appeal, and it will definitely sell 10m copies. I just think you're all selling the main Mario series way, way short. There are tons of people out there who instantly know who Mario is, and have never heard of "Smash Brothers."