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I hardly think anyone is expecting it to beat Mario Kart: Wii, seeing as how that will end up selling 12-15 million more than the entire Wii U lifetime installed base, in all likelihood.
What do you mean by flop anyway? I think it will maintain its attach rate, with the severe drought following DK, people will go mental for an actual, huge title.

And; no, the Vita won't rise, I think it's already going to head downwards this year.

Also; to the guy above me; I'm pretty sure "PS Shita" is not a term you should use in here, it's very likely against the rules. Your first sentence is also borderline.