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I think the boost will be significant. As in 40-50% first week perhaps, but that seems an absolute maximum to me!
It'll probably entice the audience and keep the PS3 numbers 10-15% higher on average until GTA IV which again would lead sales up in time for MGS 4 etc.
I see huge boosts this year for PS3 in PAL regions, and I believe the steady average sales will be nearly double what they are now after these games release.