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It's not that it's doing worse, it's just that I think the PS4 may have the N64 pattern - huge launch relative to what it does lifetime. I remember my parents wanted to get me an N64 on day one, but with the stock issues it arrived in December 1996 not Sept 1996. Thing is, all the hardcore SNES people who weren't interested in PS1 were the people to buy it. After that, demand died off fairly quickly, pretty much by the end of 1997. In year one N64 did like 10m, but fell to 33m lifetime. You should be very suspicious of consoles with huge launches - none of the smash hits had huge launches - Wii was behind Xbox originally, PS1 sold like shit originally, PS2 was behind Xbox originally in an aligned launch in the US, DS sold like shit initially, same for NES. Everything to top 100m has performed in a completely different way than PS4 / Xbox 1 - softer initial sales but a much slower drop off too. Sony is probably being honest - I don't doubt PS4 is ahead of forecasts, I just doubt it is going to sell 15 million a year on average for the next six years as it's launch months would imply. I think it's the N64 pattern at a higher level.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu