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Dolla Dolla said:
I think a common misconception is that people who want Halo 3 already have an Xbox 360. I've heard of a number of people who reserved the game and don't have a system at all. And, if Halo 3 is the game that pushes them to get a 360, there would be little to no reason to pick up a 360 now. Same goes for the Sony fans who want MGS4 and FFXIII before they make the jump. They definitely haven't picked up a PS3, there's no reason to, especially now.

Even Blue3 said that MGS4 wouldn't be a system seller, MGS4 is a game for a niche audience, valued for its quality, not its mass appeal to move a console and with suspision abound that there may be a 360 version I wouldn't bank too much on MGS4's pushing the PS3. FFXIII? Maybe, but even Blue3 said that doesn't sell as much as Grand Tsurisimo and if FFXII only sold 5 million copies on the 100+ million instalation base of the PS2 then things might not turn out as well as many had hoped for the next FF sequel. So using either of those two games as examples is kind of losing steam now that even some hardcore Sony's fans won't back them as legitimate system movers anymore.

Perhaps you're right though and Halo3 will move a ton of 360s, but the PS3 might not be the best example for comparison during these uncertain times.