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freebs2 on 12 February 2014
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DialgaMarine said:
NintendoPie said:
DialgaMarine said:

 I mainly skipped over the 3DS example because 1) it's a portable, and 2) it's actually doing pretty damn good. It did have a strong launch, but then it steadily started to die down, before starting to do amazing again, and continues to do so to this day. It's actually comparing well with DS numbers. The reason for it's original downfall were two obvious reasons: Lack of games and overpriced. Once Nintendo fixed both of those, it went up. The difference between the PS4 and the 3DS is that it has neither of those problems right out of the gate (yes the PS4 has plenty of games, and many more coming; don't BS me). 

Overall, you have a point that cummalitively, this gen won't do anywhere near as good, but that's if you include portables and factor in the clearly weak numbers of Vita and Wii-U. PS4, however, will do great.

Of course you would factor in the Wii U numbers. It is a home console. No?

I'm not saying the PS4 won't do great. Predicting that it'll do 153+ Million is absolutely mad, though.

 Once again, I ask, how is 153M + for PS4 LT so naive? Do you have any actually reasoning behind this?

Ok, I think we could both agree there are people not interested in video games and people who are just barely interested and not willing to buy consoles anyway, right? So the question is: What does the ps4 offer to these people that ps3 or 360 weren't offering already? If you could awnser to this question you may explain how the Ps4 is supposed to sell 153M units.

Right now Ps3 has sold 80m in 7 years and X360 80m in 8 years (let's leave Nintendo out of the equation), this means the whole console gaming population is 160m by now, actually it's less beacuse you know some people bought both Ps3 and 360 and those people are counted 2 times. So by saying the Ps4 will sell 153m you could imply 2 different things: or the Xbox One will sell abysmally (like the WiiU or worse), or the market as a whole, so the gaming population, will grow by a good margin. How is that supposed to happen? If Ps4 can't offer something very appealing to people who haven't bought Ps3 or 360 before it simply can't happen.