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I still think that if they play their cards right, they may achieve profit with Wii U and carry it for more 3 or 4 years.
After that time, i think they could change into a more powerfull console without losing consumer confidence.

Anyway, i am enjoying very much my HD nintendo box =P.
It could be that for having a powerfull PC and a PS3 i don't really miss the thirds, who knows... Still, i am buying more Wii U games than PS3/PC in the last 6 months.