Looks like my initial estimate didn't turn out so well, at least where the PS4 is concerned. It's entirely possible we'll see some tug-of-war this year if Nintendo games really boost sales, but I imagine it'll be a done deal long before the second holiday I predicted.
At the time, given what we knew, I think it was a solid prediction, but I knew going into it that there wasn't enough info to be accurate. Still, t'was fun to see how things turned out. :P
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