I don't think we can really use the VC as an estimate, since those games are either critically acclaimed classics, or games people grew up playing, and wanted to play again. Most people won't download some new wiiware game over a game that they know well, like SMB3.
However, I'm not saying that games won't sell. If the game is good, people will no doubt download it.........just not to the extent that the higher VC games have sold.








