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Zappykins said:
pezus said:
Zappykins said:
I'd say Sony, because it's hard to push a console for a company 1. that is expected to declare bankruptcy soon. They seem really panicked and unhappy. Even at a cheaper price and more markets, 2. it's barely leading.

But it's interesting, each of the fans of a company seem to reflect the values and principals of that company.

1. That is not expected.

2. I wouldn't call over a 1.5m lead and counting in just two months barely leading. It's selling about twice what One is doing every week now.

It comes down to the games too.  They just don't seem to have the high profile games down that are exclusives.  Te big ones they do are multi plats.  Just looks like it will be rough waters ahead.

And the Bankruptsy part, unfortunately many analist do predict it: http://www.ign.com/blogs/kingalex94/2014/01/03/sony-has-a-79-of-going-bankrupt-soon

It's been going that way for a long time.

1. They have Infamous coming next month with Uncharted, Driveclub, and The Order 1886 on their way. I don't see how that's any worse than the XBO lineup of Titanfall, Project Spark, Quantum Break, and possible a Halo 2 remake. Clearly those PS4 games don't appeal to you but it's shortsighted to say they aren't high profile. And Considering the XBO is doing terribly in Europe and has no chance in Japan; I think it's the one that has rough waters ahead. Especially since it's currently losing in the US, where it dominated last gen.

2. One of the IGN comments summed up that article pretty well, let me post it:

All these economists did was use a custom Altman z-score algorithm according to their methodology, which is linear algebra and statistics. It's a decent predictor of bankruptcy for solely manufacturing companies, of which Sony is not. That's part of their business, the rest's in finance, for which this algorithm's basis is inappropriate and inaccurate as a metric. It's also dependent on how they bin their data, etc. for a variety of parameters that determine the score.

The reason it's so poor a metric for Sony's financial aspects has to do with stochastic fluctuations that directly affect their financial business making a time-series analysis a more appropriate metric. Before I read this blog, I knew *none* of this. I just used your links and Google to do some research. I'm only a mathematician, so I don't know finances per se. All I know is that their given metric is not well suited to predicting Sony's future based on my brief readings. Thus, I'm not terribly concerned from this report based on what I just learned. -Peace



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!