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First of all, LESS than 20 million units sold for Wii U is not a sensible prediction at all, that's a more bold prediction than 30 million.

Second of all, no one thinks MK8 and Smash Bros. are both going to move 20 million Wii U's combined. They think that MK8, Smash Bros., Zelda U, X, Bayonetta 2, Hyrule Warriors, DKC, etc. will move 20 million Wii U's combined.

Edit: You're right that they think they'll help the Wii U a lot, but not a single person on any fourm ever legitimately thinks that only two Wii U games will move 20 million units.

Also, I think they will have moved about 2 million Wii U's each after Wii U is off shelves.