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Original high-budget Wii exclusives will pick-up (as will PS3 sales) when the PS2 is completely phased out.

I think the Casual and Mini-Game market is going to collapse in on itself sometime this year when sales of that crap will plummet because of over-saturation. More hardcore games will take off in that wake, and the developers smart enough to jump into the ring with high-quality, more hardcore titles will benefit. Even casual gaming Wii owners will want something new eventually.