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VitroBahllee on 04 February 2014
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ethomaz said:

VitroBahllee said:

I think you're going to see a dramatic dropoff of PS4 sales in February until it launches in Japan. Not to the point where it is doing bad, but I think that people who wanted one haven't been able to find one until recently.

Japan will really help their sales but within three months everybody who wants one in Japan will find one too.

It's just that when there's a line of people who want one but can't get one, every single console will sell out until that desire is satiated. Then it becomes a normal, week-to-week sales slog.

The Wii was selling out in stores everywhere you looked for one for over two years. Do you really think the PS4 will be like that? It's already not in NA/EU.

Just enjoy the solid PS4 sales as great sales; don't apply delusions to it that will only disappoint you in the long run.

Wii dropped too.

The PS4 sales will increase in the next month with the games to come... it will have a slow moment close to E3 because it is the lowest weeks of the year in terms of sales but after August the sales will start to increase too.

The holidays 2014 will be huge for PS4... this shit will sell like hotcakes.


That's ignoring my central point that you can already find PS4 in stock at any large retailer in NA and probably EUR less than three months after launch and you couldn't find Wii in stock for over two years. These sales figures are from a few weeks before PS4 was readily available. It's doubtful that it will maintain anything like these sales in Feb.

Of course, towards the end of the month it will get a huge infusion from the Japan launch but after 2 1/2 months it will catch up with demand there too.

That's all I'm saying. These are the peak sales of pent-up demand. Once the people in line for one who couldn't find one are sated, the sales will go down and it will become a week-to-week slog between the players. PS4 already has a commanding lead. But it's not going to keep going at this rate, at least not in NA/EUR. It will have a lead this entire generation, but you aren't going to see the same ratio of sales every single week from here on out.