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Nowhere in there does it say EA thought Xbox One would sell more.

They could have thought the two would be exactly where they are right now and that the money sent by MS would offset any potential losses incurred by skipping the $ony platforms.

They could have thought the PS4 would be 3 million ahead by now for all we know. The value that matters 99.9% in this equation is how much MS paid them, and we don't know that one.