Tough call but there are 2 big factors, to me that go into it, one we know, one we don't.
1. The gap between 3 and 4 will be 4 years if it released in 2015. People will be hungry for a new one, no doubt in my mind. Game companies really need to look at the increased sales of games like GTA V, Super Smash Brothers Brawl, and Street Fighter IV, and see that they are better off taking their time to make a great game. Sony should have a huge hit on their hands when Uncharted 4 hits.
2. Will there be Uncharted bundles? I know I will get trashed for saying this, but unless Sony releases the greatest game we have ever seen, Halo is going to boost Xbox One sales past PS4, and Mario Kart / Smash bros will boost the Wii U past the PS4 as well. Laugh if you want, but from here on out, software will be the driving force behind sales, and unless Sony drops some bombs, they just don't have the software to keep up. This leads me to think we will see day 1 Uncharted 4 bundles and if thats the case the game could end up selling easy over 10 million. Easily
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