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I too believe the home console market has peaked with the Wii/PS3/X360. That was 260 million total. There are just too many other ways to play/entertain yourself these days, with unknown marvels on the horizon probably in testing as we speak. The PS3 sold 80m and that is their base customers. Same with the 360. Wii was a little different, bringing in nongame families but that might have passed now. The world economy is still crappy, and might even go back in the down direction. I don't think the 4 has a chance of selling 100k a week every week for the next 10 years. I will predict 80m PS4s, 60mXBOs and 50m WUs. Next gen to start in 2017.