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With new markets opening up like China, the wii u stagnating and probably being withdrawn from many shops this year, sony's vr helmet in the works and the Xbox one probably not going to do good business outside the usa there is a lot of potential for ps4 to sell big numbers but those numbers are still unrealistic. Lots of factors like marketing, price, which games are available, will it attract the casual crowd and many other variables. I can see it doing 100m easily but 200m is quite a stretch. Certainly not impossible though especially if consoles take off in China.