| colafitte said: I don't understand why people insist PS4 can't finish 2014 with 20m sold lifetime. |
You are assuming that people will continue to rush to stores to buy the consoles like there is no tomorrow. What you are currently seeing is the hardcore crowd that was lamenting the "too many years without the new consoles" on every message board. That crowd probably stops at around 5mio units for every console. Then comes the "reasonable" crowd, people who can wait until "their game" appears. This crowd is much bigger than the hardcore crowd and can wait for months until they buy. Add to the fact that the whole console market might be shrinking as we could read after every NPD report in the past umpteen months. None of the current consoles ever even came close to selling 15m units a year, so 20m is a _very_ optimistic assumption. We will se what happens in the next few months, postulating numbers is just an extremely wild guess currently (Wii taken out of the picture obviously, but Nintendo already got beaten up badly with their "NextGen WiiU will be like Wii" assumption).
