6.5M isn't a good year, it's bad year that looks good only in comparison to the previous year. PS3's worst year was 2007, which wasn't even a full year in all markets, it sold 7.9 million and EVERYONE was saying and/or hoping doom.
Games-wise, yes it should be another good year, but that just makes 6.5M all the more disappointing.
Personally I'm predicting 35% YoY growth, so 4.2 million, and that's basically the pulling power of the games listed in the OP. With a price cut I could see 6.5M happening.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
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