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Sorry but I dont see how the argument 'its a marathon, not a sprint' favours anyone more than it does Sony.
MS and nintendo are not known for long-term support and sony have the most poweful hardware and most first party developers to make sure they do last the longest.

Unless that prediction where sony go bankrupt comes true, I cant see the wii U or xbox one being supported longer or selling more than the PS4.

Im also not convinced by the casual games explanation, those games will be on the PS4 as well and in most cases a better version.
MS simply cant afford to buy out the influential ones.

Then you have to consider what happens with dead rising and titanfall. what if they go through the whole mass effect thing again?