Honestly I would not touch their stock even now. I think it will go lower and they will lose money again at least for the fiscal year after this one.
They could not make a profit even with Pokemon X/Y, Animal Crossing (in the West), Mario 3D World, Monster Hunter 4 royalties, etc. and are probably going to be forced to cut the Wii U price again this year (with it selling so poorly they have no choice).
3DS hardware sales look to be showing signs of decline already, so they will probably sell fewer 3DS' next year than this year.
To me that just indicates even if Mario Kart 8 and Smash sell well next year, 2 or 3 big selling games are not enough to lift Nintendo out of bleeding money.
This is going to continue for another year at least IMO.
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