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2.8 million still seems generous. End of last years financials wii u was at 3.9million shipped. Currently wii u sales are at 5.3 million it states on VG Chartz. They are basically saying they will sell another 1.4 million consoles in about 10 weeks when they have only sold 1.4 million consoles over the last 42 weeks including christmas. January to March are pretty lean months for console sales normally. If it gets to 6 million consoles by the end of March they will be lucky. So even 2.8 million is non realistic.

Nintendo only have themselves to blame. They tried to sell an underpowered console at a highly inflated price so they could make huge profits but this time they totally failed to get the balance right. For multiformat games it can't match 360 and PS3 most of the time. Big price cuts to come and the wii u will have a fairly short life I think.