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Hey ioi made a thread. What is it 2007 again? :P

Clearly your OP is all true. However, you are making the premise that the casual/mass market wants another console beyond their dabbling in Wii and to a lesser extent Kinect.

I'm thinking they simply don't. Their need from gaming is being massively cared for from the mobile market.

Of course one game can rule them all. At this point Nintendo and others are trying to do that with games that have already had their peak and are very unlikely to repeat.

At this time, I see this gen riding on the backs of core market. PS4 with a major lead, then xbone/wiiu battling for last place.