ioi said:
Yeah. I said their biggest mistake was to assume those previous mega-hits will still work today but their second biggest is with their hardware. Most people have no interest in the 3D element of the 3DS (the 2DS is what the platform should always have been IMO) and with Wii U they know they need to do something to compete with tablets but don't really know what? Once they get it right and get the right software for Wii U (or some kind of successor / spinoff) and release some hardware-selling software then they may see some success again. With both 3DS and Wii U, Nintendo released a new hardware element (3D and tablet) like they had the gen before (dua +l touch screen and motion control) but no software to show it off and make it a must-have. Until they can figure out the point of the Wii U tablet controller then nobody is going to buy it - simple as that! If they can, and convince the casual public why they need it like they did with motion controls - then they could turn things around enormously but at the moment that is looking unlikely... They need the same approach as last gen but something that is innovative and new today instead of just recycling what was new 6-7 years ago. |
So i made a general prediction for the 8th gen
|
|
Xbox One |
Playstation 4 |
WII U |
NINTENDO TAB |
Total NEW hardware sales |
|
2012 |
0 |
0 |
2.200.000 |
0 |
2.200.000 |
|
2013 |
2.100.000 |
3.500.000 |
3.000.000 |
0 |
8.600.000 |
|
2014 |
7.900.000 |
13.000.000 |
6.000.000 |
0 |
26.900.000 |
|
2015 |
14.000.000 |
13.500.000 |
5.500.000 |
0 |
33.000.000 |
|
2016 |
13.500.000 |
13.000.000 |
5.000.000 |
0 |
31.500.000 |
|
2017 |
12.500.000 |
13.500.000 |
2.000.000 |
12.000.000 |
40.000.000 |
|
2018 |
11.000.000 |
12.500.000 |
0 |
18.000.000 |
41.500.000 |
|
2019 |
11.500.000 |
12.000.000 |
0 |
19.000.000 |
42.500.000 |
|
2020 |
9.000.000 |
10.000.000 |
0 |
19.500.000 |
38.500.000 |
|
TOTALS |
81.500.000 |
91.000.000 |
23.700.000 |
68.500.000 |
Note one:
I expect that Nintendo will follow up the wii u with a different console end 2016 ( wii 2 a.k.a. nintendo tab. higher sales due to the fact tablets have a much bigger target audience )
Note two:
Sony currently looks like to be #1 during the 8th gen
Note three:
Microsoft will once again build a solid userbase, but will lose the "war" with around 9 million unit difference
Care to make a general prediction yourself? 
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