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@NJ5: Well, when you make a big enough range than you always will be right. He also based this range on 156k when in fact he predicted only 43k. But I don't think it's the point: first number is the estimate, second and third are just first number +/-10%.
If you think that Japanese Previews are accurate than that's your opinion. My opinion on the other hand is that if Source' simply guessed numbers (with first day and last week numbers' help) they would be more accurate.