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pezus said:
Mandalore76 said:
Easily.

PSP 1st 3 years - 32,385,115
3DS 1st 3 years - 42,440,159

I fail to see how the 3DS is supposedly going to struggle to surpass something it is already out-trending by over 10 million units. It may not be nearly on pace with its predecessor the DS, but that's not your question. Your question is whether it will overtake the PSP, which I think it is clear that it will do that and more. Combine that with the fact that in it's first 3 years, the 3DS has sold almost half of the PSP's lifetime software sales, I see no reason for why the 3DS won't cruise past the PSP's lifetime hardware number.

Here's a nice, highly relevant, bit of info: Wii far outpaced PS2 early on yet it will end up nowhere close to its lifetime sales. Why? Because it didn't last as long.

Pretty much EVERY Nintendo fan on this site expected Wii to far surpass PS2 when it was in its prime. We all know how that turned out.

So, you are using an example of the market leader of one console generation failing to outsell the market leader of a previous console generation to support your estimation that the market leader of the current handheld generation will stall so badly that it won't even surpass the lifetime sales of a handheld that finished in a distant 2nd of it's own gen?  You have a bleak outlook for the handheld market which I disagree with.   A contraction is one thing.  The entire market falling off a cliff is another.