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Aerys said:

I dont see PS4 doing less than PS3 in Japan when it's doing much better everywhere else.

Sales will be more closer to PS2.


I think the " Home consoles market is dead in Japan " is a legend . We have no way to know that, it only depends of games, yes PS3 had less japan games than PS2 because of the difficulty to develop on next gen, but such things can change and Japan developers showed the will to change that recently( even Japan Studio is waking up), and since PS4 will be the leader of the generation, they'll have much more exclusives

The market isn't 'dead' in Japan, but it has definitely shown a massive contraction from the PS2 days.

PS4 will be in the good position of having reduced direct competition from the Wii U and Xbox one, but indirect competition from handheld gaming and more importantly mobile gaming is likely to restrict sale numbers.

I haven't seen a huge wave of Japanese devs announcing multiple projects for PS4 either. If they found PS3 development unprofitable, I doubt that's about to change with the PS4 any time soon.