superchunk said:
Just need to lay out what it has sold each year, look at its recent YOY decline and what typically happens once a successor launches (50% YOY declines)... pretty confident it will reach a max of 90m to 93m. |
Neither the PS2 nor PSP suffered 50% YoY declines after the launches of their successors so why would this happen to the PS3? I don't even need to mention the fact that the emerging markets greatly prefer the Playstation brand and Sony will likely capitalize upon this by pushing the PS3. This will allow them to cement their brand in these markets while recouping the early losses generated by the PS3. I honestly can not understand how you concluded that the PS3 would sell between 90 and 93 million units, your prediction is simply too low. I would expect no less than 95 million due to past trends for the brand as well as the emerging markets where Sony currently dominates.
