So, which do you think will hit 100 Million units sold first: PS3 or PS4?

[Wright]

torok said:

PS3 first. It will finish 2014 around 90M and PS4 will be at 17-20M. I see PS3 reaching 100M at 2016. People say it won't reach 100M, but they forgot PS2 was at less than 110M when PS3 and Wii reached the market and it finished at 160M. PS1 sold almost 30M units of the redesigned PSOne model launched in 2000.

PS consoles usually sell around 1/3 of their lifetime sales when its sucessor is already out. People really believe it won't sell more than 10M? That may even be true for USA/EU/JPN markets, where the new consoles are relativelly cheap. But on emergent markets, they are expensive as hell and lots of people will still buy the older consoles. Even 110-120M (105-110M more likely) for PS3 is a possibility when it gets discontinued (probably 2019-2020). If someone still believe it won't reach 100M, I'm even willing to make a bet, it will be an easy win anyway...

I'll take the bet. I'm a patient man.