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binary solo said: AFAIK Sony never said it was 4.2 million to consumers. Unless they say "sold to consumers" then sold means shipped, and even in this environment of tight supply there is no way 4.2 million shipped on X date = 4.2 million in consumer hands on X date. There is always product in the retail channel. So if anything I think 4.1 is possibly a tad on the high side, given 100K distributed across 53 markets is a very small number indeed. If someone has Sony saying 4.2 million sold to consumers then it's a different story. However in terms of VGC USA vs actual, even if 4.2 million globally is correct how much of that alleged missing 100K is USA? Boils down to VGC and NPD having at most a 100K discrepancy, and probably less, which in the month of December amounts to about 12% of total sales. Given NPD isn't 100% accurate (but likely more accurate than VGC) a 12% difference between VGC and NPD for PS4 is not even worth a second thought. I'll worry about VGC being out when the difference is over 20%. So for Xb one to be considerably lower than PS4 in the USA, NPD sales for Xb one will have to be a lot lower than VGC, there just isn't room to move for PS4. Actually PS4 supply problems makes VGC's PS4 job quite easy. The harder job is Xb one because it is less supply constrained. I can believe that VGC could be significantly over-estimating Xb one sales, after all VGC does have off months with the USA for every platform from time to time. And I expect launch year December is a hard one to estimate unless there is strong evidence of widespread supply constraints (like PS4). But VGC could have underestimated Xb one sales too. We'll see I guess. |
They said sold thought... so yeap... to consumers... they are using NPD, GFK and others trackers.
