I wouldn't rule out Nintendo showing a new IP sometime this year. Presumably an IP from Mr Miyamoto. I'd exect that IP to be shown in all its glory at E3, even in playable form.
The most obvious thing for Nintendo to showcase att the Nico Nico Chokaigi convention would be Mario Kart 8 for Wii U. But if Nintendo manages to release that game in Japan prior to the convention, then I wouldn't rule out a Japanese showing of Miyamotos presumed new IP in Japan. In that case I believe it will coinside with a special Nintendo Direct on the same day.
So if Miyamoto's new IP truely exists, what could it be? Well, it's really anyones guess. I'd say it'll be something based on Miyamoto's life experience. We've all heard of how his childhood inspired him to make Zelda, and how Pikmin was inspired by his interest in gardening. Read a biography of Mr Miyamoto, and I'm certain you will find clues that will point at his presumed new IP.
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