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Train wreck said:

I think you are leaving out many things that you (and other Nintendo people) had predicted would happen with the Xbox1 and PS4 that has not happen nor will ever happen.

1. The high price of the Xbox and PS4 will prevent them from achieving any success in the short term (launch period). PS4 was an exception since the PS3's price was an outlier but I'm sure you did not have these numbers in mind.

2. Since many of the same software titles will be releasing for the Xbox360 and PS3, that will stunt software growth for their successors (and in turn stunt hardware sales). Look at FIFA sales in the UK, November's NPD, hell I'm sure even the upcoming release of Yakuza in Japan, many titles you have the next gen version outselling older titles.

3. The Economies in Europe and the rest of the world will prevent the xbox1 and PS4 from thriving in the short term. All stock markets around the world are near record highs, Germany unemployment at 6.9% is almost 20+ year lows. Many economies while not roaring they are doing well enough for people who purchase games/new consoles.

but i always knew i'd be wrong